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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.69vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.48+1.74vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.46+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33+1.05vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-2.94vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.26-1.14vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.46-1.78vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46-2.76vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.2%1st Place
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3.74William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.06Christopher Newport University1.710.4%1st Place
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4.86William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.22Virginia Tech-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.24Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.15American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 24.3% | 26.9% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 12.6% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 42.4% | 28.8% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.