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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+1.22vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.22+2.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.12vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.29-1.75vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.24-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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2.48Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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4.88Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.58Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 37.8% | 28.2% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Bayard Lalor | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 9.7% |
| George Luber | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 30.0% | 28.2% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Eley | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 20.9% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 11.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.