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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+1.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.24+1.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69-2.70vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.22-1.71vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.21Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.77Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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2.3Brown University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.69Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 31.4% | 27.3% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| George Luber | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 9.8% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.4% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 11.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 48.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 35.0% | 29.0% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Bayard Lalor | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 11.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.