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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+1.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.29+1.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69-1.70vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.22-0.62vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.17vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.24-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Boston University2.510.3%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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4.22Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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2.3Brown University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.83Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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5.6Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 33.3% | 26.4% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| George Luber | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 10.8% |
| Franco Bilik | 34.6% | 28.5% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bayard Lalor | 6.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 12.8% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 20.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.