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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+3.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.82vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.32-0.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.60-1.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.84-3.17vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.68-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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3.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.51Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.67Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.23Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.83Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
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6.19Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zupkus | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 28.1% | 17.8% |
| Joseph Dragon | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 15.2% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 4.6% |
| Emily Croteau | 19.9% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 27.3% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.