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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+4.65vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+4.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+3.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10-0.62vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+3.06vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+3.40vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+1.57vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.87-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22+0.01vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.12-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46+1.28vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.08-2.26vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-6.00vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.02vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-3.94vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65University of Miami1.6410.5%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College1.177.3%1st Place
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3.81College of Charleston2.4920.9%1st Place
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7.25University of South Florida1.196.8%1st Place
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4.38Jacksonville University2.1017.1%1st Place
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9.06Rollins College0.583.5%1st Place
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10.4The Citadel0.192.8%1st Place
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9.57Florida State University0.374.2%1st Place
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7.88Clemson University0.875.5%1st Place
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10.01University of North Carolina0.223.0%1st Place
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6.96North Carolina State University1.126.2%1st Place
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13.28University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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10.74Wake Forest University0.082.2%1st Place
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8.0Florida Institute of Technology0.735.7%1st Place
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12.98Embry-Riddle University-0.521.6%1st Place
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12.06Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.4%1st Place
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14.22Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.9% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Jost | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 21.9% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.