Race 11A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Lopez 17.8% 14.8% 14.4% 12.7% 12.5% 10.2% 7.8% 5.2% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.7% 11.9% 11.5% 11.9% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 13.0% 15.5% 14.5% 11.0% 10.9% 12.3% 9.1% 6.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 19.0% 14.8% 14.4% 13.2% 11.1% 10.1% 8.2% 4.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 10.4% 9.4% 11.4% 11.7% 10.4% 11.2% 11.4% 10.2% 6.2% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 3.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.9% 7.3% 9.4% 14.6% 21.9% 27.3% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 1.9% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.7% 7.5% 8.4% 12.8% 16.2% 16.9% 16.1% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 13.3% 12.8% 12.2% 12.1% 12.9% 12.1% 9.3% 7.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 2.8% 3.1% 2.5% 4.8% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 9.8% 11.6% 16.0% 15.1% 10.7% 8.4% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 3.7% 6.1% 7.4% 13.3% 13.2% 13.8% 15.4% 13.2% 0.0%
William Ricketson 5.2% 6.0% 7.8% 8.4% 9.3% 8.8% 12.1% 12.5% 10.6% 9.2% 7.0% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 2.0% 3.7% 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 6.8% 11.7% 11.3% 15.3% 12.5% 11.4% 6.1% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.7% 4.0% 5.4% 9.2% 11.1% 14.2% 18.9% 27.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.7% 11.9% 11.5% 11.9% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.