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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.84+1.78vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.46vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.32+0.62vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68+2.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60-2.78vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
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3.46Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.62Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.34Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.22Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
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4.66Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blasberg | 27.8% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.9% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 14.2% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 70.4% |
| Joseph Dragon | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 5.4% |
| Emily Croteau | 20.6% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| John Zupkus | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 30.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.