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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+2.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.84+0.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.60+0.20vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.32-0.34vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-0.18vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-2.50vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.68-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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2.84Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
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3.2Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
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3.66Northeastern University1.320.2%1st Place
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4.82Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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3.5Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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6.18Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Dragon | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 25.3% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Croteau | 19.5% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 15.4% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 4.2% |
| John Zupkus | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 30.9% | 15.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 15.8% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.