← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.84+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.85vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-0.68+3.23vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.32-0.33vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.60-1.77vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.39-2.47vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
-
3.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
-
6.23Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
-
3.67Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
-
3.23Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
-
3.53Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
-
4.69Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blasberg | 28.6% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Dragon | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 69.7% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 14.3% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 3.6% |
| Emily Croteau | 18.4% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 16.5% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 3.3% |
| John Zupkus | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 30.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.