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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.32+2.50vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.60-0.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.84-2.18vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-1.28vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.27-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Northeastern University1.320.2%1st Place
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3.44Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.2Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
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2.82Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
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4.72Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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6.5Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Fletcher | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 15.7% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Dragon | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 3.9% |
| Emily Croteau | 20.0% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 26.1% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| John Zupkus | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 33.3% | 11.0% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.