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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.84+1.76vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.32+1.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-0.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.60-1.81vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.29vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.27-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Brown University1.840.3%1st Place
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3.52Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.48Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.19Boston University1.600.2%1st Place
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4.71Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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6.49Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blasberg | 28.2% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 15.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 15.6% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Dragon | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 4.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 19.3% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| John Zupkus | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 34.0% | 10.8% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.