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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+4.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+1.34vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+2.74vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.87+2.81vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+2.99vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+3.50vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University0.08+2.67vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.46+3.10vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.64-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina0.22-2.97vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.81vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-2.84vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.37-6.27vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84College of Charleston2.4919.5%1st Place
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6.88North Carolina State University1.127.0%1st Place
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4.34Jacksonville University2.1016.8%1st Place
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6.74Eckerd College1.177.4%1st Place
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7.81Clemson University0.875.3%1st Place
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8.99Rollins College0.584.5%1st Place
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10.5The Citadel0.192.9%1st Place
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10.67Wake Forest University0.082.9%1st Place
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8.05Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami1.6410.7%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.196.5%1st Place
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10.03University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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13.19Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
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12.16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.7%1st Place
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9.73Florida State University0.373.1%1st Place
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14.17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 19.5% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.