Race 12A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gordon Wolcott 11.1% 11.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 9.3% 8.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 11.6% 11.1% 13.2% 15.1% 11.8% 8.0% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 8.6% 9.9% 10.2% 11.2% 11.3% 12.5% 12.3% 8.9% 6.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Victor Diaz De Leon 17.4% 17.4% 13.5% 12.9% 12.4% 9.0% 8.7% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Lopez 17.9% 15.3% 16.3% 12.4% 12.5% 8.8% 6.5% 5.3% 2.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 8.7% 10.1% 12.7% 13.8% 19.5% 15.5% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 14.2% 12.7% 11.7% 14.8% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.3% 4.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 13.6% 15.6% 13.5% 11.7% 12.2% 12.3% 9.9% 5.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Ricketson 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.1% 7.0% 9.5% 11.4% 12.6% 12.6% 10.1% 7.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 4.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 7.1% 8.0% 9.0% 15.1% 12.7% 12.3% 10.5% 5.6% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 11.1% 11.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 12.2% 9.3% 8.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 1.1% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 6.1% 6.7% 10.2% 16.3% 18.2% 28.3% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 1.8% 5.1% 4.1% 6.7% 5.9% 12.1% 13.7% 14.5% 16.6% 12.7% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 6.5% 7.3% 11.3% 14.0% 18.2% 28.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.