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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+3.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+1.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+0.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+1.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.84-0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.66-1.57vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-1.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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3.95Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.31Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.24Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.89Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 14.3% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 24.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| Pierre DuPont | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 11.2% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 23.1% |
| George Luber | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.