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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.23vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+0.25vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.18+2.11vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.89+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.31-0.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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2.25Eckerd College2.720.4%1st Place
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5.11Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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4.43North Carolina State University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.96Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 32.4% | 31.6% | 21.7% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 35.1% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Mason Sheen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 56.7% |
| Mark Thompson | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 20.6% | 32.7% | 24.5% |
| Julia Gowell | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 28.5% | 14.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.7% | 20.8% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.