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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+1.28vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.18+3.15vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77-0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.31-0.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.89-0.47vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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5.15Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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2.18George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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2.95Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 33.2% | 28.3% | 22.1% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 23.1% | 55.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.9% | 30.9% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.8% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 26.9% | 28.0% | 11.7% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 31.7% | 28.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.4% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 22.2% | 10.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.