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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.15vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.18+0.88vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14-2.16vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.33-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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2.15Eckerd College2.720.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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4.88Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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2.84Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.31North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.2% | 32.6% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 37.2% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.6% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 34.9% | 22.7% | 5.1% |
| Mason Sheen | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 14.5% | 40.1% | 33.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.9% | 23.5% | 29.7% | 20.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 25.8% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.