Race 13A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chris Barnard 33.2% 22.6% 18.8% 11.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 7.6% 6.8% 9.0% 13.1% 11.7% 13.2% 12.5% 10.2% 7.2% 5.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 3.0% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 10.5% 14.4% 18.3% 18.7% 9.9% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 8.3% 9.0% 10.5% 13.3% 11.6% 11.5% 12.1% 10.0% 7.2% 4.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Lopez 16.2% 16.7% 15.9% 13.0% 12.3% 9.7% 7.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.2% 11.6% 12.7% 13.3% 12.5% 11.2% 10.2% 8.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 3.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 9.3% 13.5% 14.8% 15.1% 10.8% 3.7% 0.0%
William Ricketson 4.6% 7.0% 5.7% 8.1% 9.3% 11.8% 11.8% 13.5% 11.1% 9.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 10.2% 14.3% 13.3% 12.6% 13.2% 10.4% 10.3% 6.8% 5.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.5% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9% 6.2% 9.1% 13.5% 13.4% 16.3% 15.8% 6.4% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5.9% 8.5% 10.6% 16.7% 24.2% 18.1% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 4.6% 6.8% 9.1% 11.3% 12.9% 15.2% 13.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.0%
Sarah Hartzell 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 5.6% 9.0% 16.8% 57.8% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.2% 11.6% 12.7% 13.3% 12.5% 11.2% 10.2% 8.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.