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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+3.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+2.53vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+2.67vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+1.31vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.12-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.22+2.01vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.37+0.61vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.08+0.75vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.52+2.12vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.87-4.21vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-2.62vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.58-5.01vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-2.95vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-2.70vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Jacksonville University2.1016.9%1st Place
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3.79College of Charleston2.4920.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Miami1.6410.8%1st Place
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6.67Eckerd College1.177.8%1st Place
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8.14Florida Institute of Technology0.735.7%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida1.196.6%1st Place
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6.81North Carolina State University1.127.0%1st Place
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10.01University of North Carolina0.222.9%1st Place
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9.61Florida State University0.373.9%1st Place
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10.75Wake Forest University0.082.5%1st Place
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13.12Embry-Riddle University-0.520.7%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University0.876.2%1st Place
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10.38The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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8.99Rollins College0.583.7%1st Place
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12.05Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.8%1st Place
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13.3University of Central Florida-0.460.9%1st Place
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14.29Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Owen Bannasch | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Noah Zittrer | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Steven Hardee | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jordan Vieira | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Humberto Porrata | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Noah Jost | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
Carter Weatherilt | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Johnny Perkins | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
Zechariah Frantz | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
Shay Bridge | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
Alex Bagnoni | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 21.1% |
Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.