← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.77+1.24vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.72+0.24vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia1.31+0.90vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.89+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.14-2.00vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.18-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
-
2.24Eckerd College2.720.4%1st Place
-
3.9University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.43North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
-
3.0Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
-
5.19Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 32.4% | 31.9% | 20.2% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 36.4% | 26.2% | 20.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 25.7% | 27.4% | 12.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 4.4% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 33.1% | 24.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.4% | 22.0% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.