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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+1.30vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.31+0.89vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14-1.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.89-0.51vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.18-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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2.19George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.89University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.91Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.49North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.21Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 31.2% | 30.7% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 36.3% | 27.7% | 21.4% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 27.5% | 12.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.7% | 21.1% | 28.0% | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Mark Thompson | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 19.4% | 32.4% | 27.0% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 11.3% | 23.3% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.