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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+1.20vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.31+0.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14-1.21vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.33+0.35vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.18-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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2.11George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.79Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.9Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 32.4% | 31.6% | 23.0% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 37.6% | 29.2% | 21.0% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 35.8% | 21.9% | 5.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.2% | 22.5% | 30.8% | 20.5% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 23.6% | 61.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 16.1% | 42.1% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.