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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.31+1.88vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72-0.78vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.89+0.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14-1.97vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.18-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.22Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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4.43North Carolina State University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.03Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.19Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 32.5% | 31.5% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 27.5% | 25.6% | 12.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 34.4% | 28.5% | 21.9% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mark Thompson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 35.2% | 23.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 17.3% | 20.3% | 25.8% | 20.1% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 20.5% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.