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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.31+1.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14-0.07vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.18+1.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72-2.68vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.89-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.87University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.93Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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5.19Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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2.32Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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4.49North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 35.8% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 26.9% | 11.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.7% | 22.7% | 25.5% | 23.6% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 22.4% | 57.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 32.7% | 27.4% | 21.3% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Mark Thompson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 33.2% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.