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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+1.19vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.33+1.31vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14-2.17vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.18-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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2.09George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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5.31North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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2.83Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.89Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 32.2% | 33.2% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 39.4% | 26.8% | 21.4% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.6% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 34.7% | 22.6% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 25.1% | 59.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 16.8% | 23.6% | 29.7% | 20.9% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 14.3% | 41.1% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.