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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+1.83vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.31+0.66vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.18+0.85vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.33+0.36vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
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2.1George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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4.85Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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5.36North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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2.2Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.1% | 21.2% | 31.1% | 20.5% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 37.8% | 28.7% | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 34.5% | 23.9% | 4.4% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 40.7% | 33.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 24.8% | 60.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 32.6% | 31.6% | 21.3% | 12.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.