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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.31+1.66vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72-0.84vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.18+0.87vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.33+0.34vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.16Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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4.87Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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5.34North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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2.83Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 35.9% | 29.1% | 22.3% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 35.5% | 20.8% | 6.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 34.3% | 30.9% | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 15.3% | 41.7% | 32.2% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 24.6% | 60.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.2% | 20.9% | 30.3% | 21.4% | 8.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.