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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+1.20vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.10vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.18+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.31-0.30vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.33+0.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Eckerd College2.720.3%1st Place
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2.1George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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4.82Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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2.83Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 32.2% | 32.1% | 22.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 38.3% | 28.1% | 21.6% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mason Sheen | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 14.0% | 39.7% | 33.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 7.1% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 36.1% | 22.3% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 26.8% | 59.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.4% | 21.2% | 28.9% | 23.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.