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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+3.59vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.12+3.88vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.26vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-1.59vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.01vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+1.71vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.58-0.04vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.87-2.22vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+3.24vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+0.07vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.08-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-0.59vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina0.22-5.02vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-5.54vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-0.52-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83College of Charleston2.4920.8%1st Place
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5.59University of Miami1.6410.6%1st Place
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6.88North Carolina State University1.127.8%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College1.178.1%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida1.195.8%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University2.1015.8%1st Place
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8.01Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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9.71Florida State University0.373.0%1st Place
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8.96Rollins College0.583.8%1st Place
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7.78Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
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14.24Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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12.07Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.1%1st Place
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10.68Wake Forest University0.082.9%1st Place
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13.41University of Central Florida-0.461.4%1st Place
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9.98University of North Carolina0.223.1%1st Place
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10.46The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
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12.97Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 20.8% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 36.6% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| Noah Jost | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.