Race 14A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chris Barnard 32.8% 24.7% 16.1% 13.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 6.9% 6.4% 10.6% 15.1% 13.8% 16.2% 10.3% 3.5% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 8.7% 11.6% 12.3% 12.5% 12.2% 13.0% 10.5% 10.3% 4.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 7.6% 7.9% 10.6% 11.0% 10.4% 12.8% 12.3% 8.5% 10.1% 5.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 3.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 11.2% 13.3% 14.9% 12.7% 7.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Max Lopez 15.8% 14.9% 15.8% 14.7% 13.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 12.0% 12.7% 12.4% 13.6% 12.7% 11.8% 9.1% 8.5% 4.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 8.9% 9.2% 11.9% 9.9% 12.3% 12.6% 13.5% 9.9% 5.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.6% 8.2% 10.6% 15.9% 17.0% 17.3% 6.4% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.2% 8.2% 10.1% 14.4% 17.0% 18.7% 9.7% 0.0%
William Ricketson 4.5% 6.2% 7.2% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 14.4% 11.1% 11.3% 8.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5% 5.0% 8.3% 11.1% 18.0% 22.8% 21.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 8.7% 11.6% 12.3% 12.5% 12.2% 13.0% 10.5% 10.3% 4.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Hartzell 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 5.4% 8.4% 18.9% 55.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.