← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia1.31+2.75vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.33+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.72-0.85vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.77-1.87vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.18-0.07vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.14-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
-
5.26North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
2.15Eckerd College2.720.4%1st Place
-
2.13George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
-
4.93Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
-
2.79Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Gowell | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 39.2% | 19.6% | 7.2% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 27.4% | 55.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 35.2% | 30.1% | 23.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.5% | 32.3% | 22.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 39.2% | 36.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 19.2% | 21.8% | 29.8% | 20.3% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.