← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.77+1.16vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia1.31+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.72-0.87vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.33+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.14-2.14vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.18-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.16George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
-
3.66University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
-
2.13Eckerd College2.720.4%1st Place
-
5.31North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
2.86Old Dominion University2.140.2%1st Place
-
4.89Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.9% | 33.1% | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Julia Gowell | 9.0% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 34.4% | 21.7% | 5.8% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 35.8% | 29.3% | 23.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 10.3% | 24.9% | 58.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 18.1% | 21.1% | 29.6% | 21.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Mason Sheen | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 40.7% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.