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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.84+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-0.99+1.84vs Predicted
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3Iowa State University-0.52+0.30vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.76-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Minnesota0.840.5%1st Place
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3.84University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.3Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.58Indiana University-0.760.1%1st Place
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2.42University of Michigan0.280.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Villadsen | 47.0% | 30.1% | 15.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 6.0% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 40.7% |
| Stefan Peterson | 11.9% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 26.5% | 21.9% |
| Henry Stack | 8.5% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 27.5% | 30.5% |
| Sonny Jenema | 26.6% | 29.9% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.