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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.84-0.16vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.76-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-0.99-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Michigan0.280.3%1st Place
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1.84University of Minnesota0.840.5%1st Place
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3.28Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.6Indiana University-0.760.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 26.6% | 30.5% | 21.8% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
| Eric Villadsen | 46.9% | 29.6% | 16.6% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Stefan Peterson | 11.8% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 27.7% | 20.1% |
| Henry Stack | 7.9% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 31.2% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.