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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+1.42vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.76+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.99-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.84-3.15vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-0.52-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Michigan0.280.3%1st Place
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3.59Indiana University-0.760.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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1.85University of Minnesota0.840.5%1st Place
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3.3Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 26.1% | 32.0% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Henry Stack | 7.7% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 28.2% | 29.5% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 7.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 41.7% |
| Eric Villadsen | 46.9% | 30.0% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Stefan Peterson | 12.3% | 15.3% | 23.4% | 28.0% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.