← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.17+5.76vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel0.19+8.44vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.10+1.35vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.19+3.38vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.49-1.12vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.12+0.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.64-1.38vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College0.41-0.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Central Florida-0.46+3.29vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University0.87-3.25vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.37-3.35vs Predicted
-
14Wake Forest University0.08-3.16vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.92vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina0.22-5.91vs Predicted
-
17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76Eckerd College1.178.3%1st Place
-
10.44The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
-
4.35Jacksonville University2.1015.8%1st Place
-
7.38University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
-
3.88College of Charleston2.4920.6%1st Place
-
6.84North Carolina State University1.127.4%1st Place
-
5.62University of Miami1.6410.6%1st Place
-
8.08Florida Institute of Technology0.735.5%1st Place
-
8.53Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
-
13.29University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
-
7.75Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
-
12.01Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.8%1st Place
-
9.65Florida State University0.373.5%1st Place
-
10.84Wake Forest University0.082.4%1st Place
-
13.08Embry-Riddle University-0.521.1%1st Place
-
10.09University of North Carolina0.222.5%1st Place
-
14.41Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 15.8% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.6% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 20.8% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| Noah Jost | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.