Race 15A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chris Barnard 31.9% 23.9% 18.5% 12.2% 6.1% 4.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Lopez 14.2% 16.3% 16.9% 12.1% 13.7% 10.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 5.1% 5.2% 8.4% 9.8% 11.6% 12.5% 15.6% 13.6% 7.5% 3.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 6.9% 8.6% 10.3% 11.0% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 10.1% 9.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 9.4% 8.5% 13.0% 10.9% 11.5% 10.7% 12.7% 10.4% 7.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.4% 13.1% 10.0% 13.5% 12.5% 12.0% 11.1% 7.7% 4.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 3.6% 3.0% 2.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 6.5% 10.0% 13.5% 15.2% 15.4% 10.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 2.0% 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 5.7% 8.8% 10.0% 12.9% 17.4% 21.3% 7.8% 0.0%
William Ricketson 4.6% 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 10.2% 13.3% 13.2% 11.7% 9.1% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 11.9% 13.1% 12.3% 13.4% 13.2% 12.2% 8.9% 6.8% 5.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 4.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.7% 13.0% 14.7% 15.8% 14.0% 6.4% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.7% 4.1% 6.8% 11.0% 16.9% 24.5% 21.8% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.4% 13.1% 10.0% 13.5% 12.5% 12.0% 11.1% 7.7% 4.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Hartzell 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 3.3% 5.5% 8.9% 17.9% 56.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.