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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.04+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-2.81+0.21vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-2.63-0.99vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-3.62-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.80-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54University of Michigan-1.040.6%1st Place
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3.21University of Minnesota-2.810.1%1st Place
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3.01Iowa State University-2.630.1%1st Place
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4.06Indiana University-3.620.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Iowa-2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rogers | 63.8% | 23.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Arun Chadda | 9.2% | 20.9% | 26.6% | 26.5% | 16.8% |
| Tate Carlson | 12.7% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 23.0% | 13.7% |
| Pealer Bryniarski | 3.4% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 50.6% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 10.9% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 26.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.