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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Michigan-1.04-0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-2.03-0.46vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-2.63-0.79vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-3.62-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-2.81-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Michigan-1.040.6%1st Place
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2.54University of Iowa-2.030.2%1st Place
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3.21Iowa State University-2.630.1%1st Place
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4.21Indiana University-3.620.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Minnesota-2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rogers | 57.0% | 26.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 19.7% | 32.4% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 4.3% |
| Tate Carlson | 10.9% | 18.7% | 25.3% | 29.1% | 16.0% |
| Pealer Bryniarski | 2.8% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 56.7% |
| Arun Chadda | 9.6% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 29.7% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.