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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-1.01+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04-1.12vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-2.63-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-2.80-1.41vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Minnesota-1.010.4%1st Place
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1.88University of Michigan-1.040.4%1st Place
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3.37Iowa State University-2.630.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Iowa-2.800.1%1st Place
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4.29Indiana University-3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Leary | 42.8% | 34.9% | 15.9% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Rogers | 41.0% | 35.6% | 18.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Tate Carlson | 8.5% | 12.2% | 29.5% | 33.2% | 16.6% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 5.1% | 11.3% | 26.5% | 33.5% | 23.6% |
| Pealer Bryniarski | 2.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 23.1% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.