Race 16A

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chris Barnard 34.2% 23.1% 17.0% 12.1% 6.9% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.0% 8.8% 14.4% 13.0% 13.5% 12.3% 9.6% 7.7% 6.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Lopez 14.4% 17.3% 14.7% 14.7% 11.5% 10.6% 8.5% 4.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 7.8% 7.8% 9.1% 12.7% 11.5% 12.0% 11.4% 9.8% 8.0% 6.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 11.6% 13.4% 12.8% 13.0% 12.2% 12.1% 11.7% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Ricketson 4.9% 5.4% 7.9% 7.5% 10.5% 10.6% 12.4% 11.8% 10.6% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Ike Babbitt 8.8% 11.0% 11.7% 9.5% 12.6% 13.2% 10.6% 9.5% 6.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.3% 14.0% 12.7% 18.2% 15.9% 5.6% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 5.9% 8.6% 12.4% 13.4% 14.3% 13.1% 9.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Russell Cramer 2.0% 4.3% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 7.9% 11.5% 13.7% 13.5% 15.1% 9.9% 4.7% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.8% 8.0% 13.2% 16.7% 23.7% 17.2% 0.0%
Tyler Myers 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% 9.6% 9.5% 14.2% 16.2% 19.6% 10.9% 0.0%
Sarah Hartzell 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 5.6% 8.9% 17.0% 57.5% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 10.0% 8.8% 14.4% 13.0% 13.5% 12.3% 9.6% 7.7% 6.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.