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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.17+5.64vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+5.29vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.08+7.85vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.64+0.56vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.87+1.90vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.37+2.78vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49-4.17vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-0.27vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19+0.51vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.22-1.08vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.91vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.12vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.12-7.13vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.76vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-2.77vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Eckerd College1.178.2%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida1.195.9%1st Place
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10.85Wake Forest University0.082.6%1st Place
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4.38Jacksonville University2.1016.8%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami1.6410.4%1st Place
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7.9Clemson University0.875.9%1st Place
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9.78Florida State University0.373.1%1st Place
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3.83College of Charleston2.4920.2%1st Place
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8.73Rollins College0.414.5%1st Place
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10.51The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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9.92University of North Carolina0.222.6%1st Place
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8.09Florida Institute of Technology0.735.2%1st Place
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13.12Embry-Riddle University-0.521.6%1st Place
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6.87North Carolina State University1.126.9%1st Place
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14.24Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Central Florida-0.461.2%1st Place
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12.07Georgia Institute of Technology-0.321.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.2% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 39.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.