Race 15A

saisa-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Noah Zittrer 23.2% 19.4% 16.8% 13.5% 10.4% 5.8% 4.8% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Weatherilt 4.0% 3.1% 5.4% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 10.8% 11.1% 11.2% 7.2% 2.8%
Owen Bannasch 16.8% 18.4% 15.8% 12.7% 10.3% 9.6% 6.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 12.3% 14.1% 11.8% 5.3%
Mitchell Hnatt 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.5% 8.2% 7.0% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Benjamin Usher 9.0% 8.3% 9.5% 10.1% 8.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.3% 8.2% 7.6% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7%
Humberto Porrata 7.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.0% 10.4% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 8.4% 8.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Brendan Smucker 6.1% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 10.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.7% 0.6%
Hilton Kamps 5.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.6% 8.2% 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 10.2% 10.8% 9.1% 7.5% 4.0% 1.5%
Noah Jost 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.7% 12.2% 11.1% 9.4% 3.5%
Nathan Hjort 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 9.8% 18.2% 46.2%
Alex Bagnoni 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 7.1% 9.3% 11.2% 13.2% 17.9% 14.5%
Zechariah Frantz 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 6.5% 9.4% 14.1% 21.9% 23.4%
Steven Hardee 12.0% 13.0% 12.0% 12.1% 11.4% 10.9% 9.2% 7.2% 4.7% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.