Race 2B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Curtis Woodworth 23.1% 19.1% 18.9% 17.0% 11.3% 6.5% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Ewing 19.1% 19.5% 19.3% 18.0% 13.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Chad Murray 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 7.4% 11.2% 20.1% 43.5% 5.3%
Benjamin Chafee 22.8% 22.3% 18.6% 16.6% 9.9% 6.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Geoffrey St. John 13.8% 17.0% 14.7% 13.8% 16.1% 12.5% 8.7% 3.3% 0.1%
Anna Palmer 7.6% 9.0% 10.4% 12.7% 16.2% 20.2% 15.6% 8.1% 0.2%
Benjamin Ringrose 6.0% 6.0% 9.0% 9.2% 14.3% 19.5% 19.4% 15.3% 1.3%
Maya Kwasniewski 4.9% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 11.1% 15.9% 25.4% 23.0% 1.5%
Nicholas Meury 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 4.3% 91.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.