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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+4.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+4.45vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+1.70vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+2.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.29+2.14vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+1.54vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.74-2.44vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-2.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.77-2.16vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-5.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.90-7.67vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.13-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.51Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.4University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Fullerton | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 32.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| James Moody | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 25.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.