← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.45+6.45vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.55vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.54+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.90+1.04vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+0.94vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.01-1.32vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.97-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.74-2.39vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+2.14vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.16-2.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.72-5.37vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut1.13-1.07vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.77-3.96vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.24-3.63vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.29-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.45Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.04Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.94Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.68Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
5.79Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.61Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
12.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.61Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
-
6.63University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
11.93University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.04Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| James Moody | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 30.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 27.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 20.5% |
| Jack Fullerton | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.