← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.45+6.37vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.72+4.36vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.74+3.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.77+5.63vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.90+1.06vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+0.79vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.29+0.91vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.16+0.41vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+2.89vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.01-4.30vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.31vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.97-7.03vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.68vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.54-7.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut0.19-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.37Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.36University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.42Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
9.63University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.06Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.91Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.41Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
5.7Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.97Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
11.32University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.1Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
13.37University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| James Moody | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Fullerton | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 18.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 16.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| George Williams | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 17.8% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.