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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.33+8.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.71vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+6.73vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+3.52vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70+0.37vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+1.52vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.40-1.12vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-4.34vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50-0.26vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.05+0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.83-3.24vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-0.75vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92-0.07vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.80vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.63-2.83vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-2.44vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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5.71University of South Florida1.6010.8%1st Place
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9.73Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.6%1st Place
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7.52Rollins College0.957.0%1st Place
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5.37Jacksonville University1.7011.6%1st Place
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7.52Eckerd College0.856.9%1st Place
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5.88North Carolina State University1.4010.0%1st Place
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3.66College of Charleston2.3821.3%1st Place
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8.74Florida State University0.504.5%1st Place
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10.95Wake Forest University0.052.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Miami0.836.0%1st Place
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7.72Clemson University0.736.4%1st Place
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12.25University of Central Florida-0.201.6%1st Place
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13.93University of North Carolina-0.920.8%1st Place
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12.2Embry-Riddle University-0.271.1%1st Place
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13.17Duke University-0.631.2%1st Place
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14.56Georgia Institute of Technology-0.560.7%1st Place
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14.88Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Milo Miller | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.3% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Long | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 17.8% |
| Mason Howell | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 26.2% |
| William Meade | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.