Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Casey Gowrie 10.6% 13.3% 11.6% 9.2% 10.0% 8.7% 9.1% 7.0% 5.9% 4.8% 3.8% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Wade Waddell 17.0% 13.6% 14.2% 10.6% 10.9% 9.4% 7.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Shannon Killian 4.4% 4.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.0% 11.1% 11.1% 7.2%
Quinn Andersen 6.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 7.9% 9.7% 8.6% 8.2% 6.5% 8.9% 7.6% 5.4% 4.0% 1.2%
Chester Jacobs 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 8.8% 7.1% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7%
Andrew Puopolo 4.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.7% 5.3% 5.1% 7.7% 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.8% 8.2%
Dakota Northrup 13.0% 12.2% 12.1% 10.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.3% 8.2% 6.5% 3.5% 3.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Emma White 9.9% 12.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 4.8% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Robert Rose 6.1% 4.3% 5.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.7% 7.6% 3.1%
Annie Hughes 7.4% 7.9% 7.0% 9.3% 9.4% 9.0% 7.6% 9.2% 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 6.8% 2.9% 1.8%
Alex Moreno 7.2% 5.6% 5.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.1% 8.6% 8.2% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 7.0% 6.0% 3.0%
James Amaral 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 12.6% 14.1% 14.9%
Connor Oursler 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 12.4% 15.8% 13.4%
Arthur Milot 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 6.1% 5.2% 6.2% 7.8% 16.1% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.