Race 2B

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Casey Gowrie 10.5% 12.6% 13.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 8.4% 6.9% 6.2% 4.7% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
Wade Waddell 17.6% 13.9% 13.7% 11.1% 10.4% 8.9% 7.9% 6.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4%
Annie Hughes 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 9.1% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.1% 6.2% 2.8% 1.3%
Dakota Northrup 10.3% 12.5% 11.5% 11.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Chester Jacobs 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 8.6% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 7.7% 8.6% 5.4% 2.5%
Shannon Killian 4.2% 4.5% 3.6% 4.8% 4.6% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.1% 8.4% 10.2% 9.9% 11.7% 9.0%
Andrew Puopolo 4.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.0% 6.4% 5.9% 6.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.9% 9.6% 10.3% 5.8%
James Amaral 3.5% 2.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.3% 4.7% 7.5% 7.4% 9.6% 11.7% 15.2% 15.6%
Emma White 11.0% 8.4% 10.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 8.5% 8.5% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Robert Rose 5.5% 4.8% 5.3% 7.1% 6.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 10.5% 8.9% 9.1% 7.3% 3.2%
Connor Oursler 3.0% 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 9.9% 13.2% 15.0% 15.4%
Alex Moreno 6.8% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 9.1% 8.2% 9.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 6.1% 2.6%
Quinn Andersen 8.2% 10.2% 6.5% 9.1% 7.7% 8.4% 8.1% 9.6% 8.0% 7.1% 7.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
Arthur Milot 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 7.2% 4.7% 8.9% 17.3% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.