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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+4.56vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+6.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+2.40vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.35+3.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.74vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-1.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.52-0.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.74-0.19vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.70-4.28vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-6.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.75-3.30vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.12-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.99-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.41Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.81University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.750.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Rose | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Moreno | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| James Amaral | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor Oursler | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Arthur Milot | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.