Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chester Jacobs 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 8.4% 7.5% 7.3% 6.6% 5.7% 2.9%
Casey Gowrie 11.9% 12.2% 10.8% 9.4% 10.7% 8.5% 9.8% 8.3% 5.7% 4.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Quinn Andersen 7.9% 8.5% 9.2% 8.3% 6.4% 8.7% 8.6% 8.8% 6.8% 7.2% 8.5% 5.8% 4.3% 1.0%
Emma White 9.1% 10.6% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 12.0% 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 7.5% 4.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Robert Rose 4.2% 6.0% 4.9% 7.6% 7.7% 6.4% 7.0% 9.7% 7.3% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 7.1% 4.6%
Alex Moreno 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 8.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.1% 3.6%
Annie Hughes 9.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 8.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3%
Connor Oursler 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.6% 4.9% 5.6% 4.5% 6.8% 8.1% 9.7% 12.2% 14.0% 15.7%
James Amaral 4.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 4.4% 7.8% 8.6% 10.4% 14.2% 15.1% 14.2%
Dakota Northrup 10.5% 11.1% 12.1% 11.1% 10.2% 8.5% 8.6% 7.8% 7.1% 4.9% 4.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Wade Waddell 15.8% 13.0% 13.5% 9.6% 11.5% 8.3% 8.2% 6.0% 4.6% 3.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Andrew Puopolo 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 6.1% 4.3% 7.4% 7.1% 7.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.3% 9.3% 13.0% 5.8%
Shannon Killian 4.3% 5.3% 5.4% 3.7% 6.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 8.2% 9.5% 10.8% 11.8% 6.3%
Arthur Milot 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 9.2% 14.3% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.