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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.70vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.63+3.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.42+5.47vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.08vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59-0.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.49+1.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.37-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.91+0.12vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-0.17vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.89-1.61vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University0.55-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.66vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.06Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.92Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.32Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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3.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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10.83Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.39Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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11.21Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.75University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 20.7% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skoda | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Long | 21.7% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 30.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.