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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+2.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20-0.11vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.91+4.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.26-3.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42+0.62vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64+1.82vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.89+0.15vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55+0.06vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.63vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.37-4.07vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.49-5.72vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.2%1st Place
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5.12Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.89Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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8.62Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.82Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.15Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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11.06Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.68University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 22.4% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.0% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 34.9% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.