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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+4.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.67vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89+7.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.49vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.42+1.55vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.63-2.82vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64+1.85vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.49-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+1.43vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.37-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.91-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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10.04Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.95Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.2%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.18Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.85Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.48Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.24Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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11.68University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.6% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 20.2% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 35.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 13.5% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.